And so to ETSI*, the august telecommunication standards body in Sophia Antipolis. I was kindly invited to by BT's Keith Dickerson and ETSI's Margot Dor to present during a board meeting session entitled "Hell's Kitchen: IMS and Web 2.0 Compete or Complete?" — an attempt to provoke fruitful discussion ahead of defining strategy for topics which included The Web and open source. I was encouraged to adopt a rather provocative position, one in which I was clearly representing open source and The Web and not necessarily a formal position from my employer. Oh my!
For those innocent in the ways of the telco, I'd position ETSI as a place where large companies, operators, vendors and regulators coalesce, publishing large rock-solid specifications for communications. Mostly these are things which most of the planet uses every day: SMS being a prime example, a small part of the enormous GSM which when printed is a foot or so high and yet just works. Web developers can learn a lot from organisations whose outputs are so solidly interoperable and deemed trustworthy enough to be used as inputs to legislature. But I wasn't here to praise The Romans and their functional viaducts. I was here to warn them about the Web 2.0 Vandals amassing outside!
Recently a significant part of ETSI's focus has been on something called IMS. I'm willing to wager few ordinary IT folk have heard of IMS, but for many in the telco industry it's a big bet, one predicated on being able to exploit the strong relationship between a punter and their operator. IMS aims to build an IP based multimedia platform from which vendors and vested interests will be able to innovate. I'm no fan of IMS, a prejudice re-enforced by hearing use-cases which sound like water companies standardising how to pipe around coffee and soup. That along with being someone who advocated BT's Web21C SDK eschewing Parlay-X, gave me a strong sense of putting my head inside the lion's mouth.
The session started with polite, understated views, mainly from the IMS perspective, from TISPAN chair Rainer Münch of Alcatel-Lucent "IMS needs to engage the Web 2.0 community" and OMA Technical Plenary Chair Mark Cataldo of France Telecom/Orange: "our standards need to emerge quickly to remain relevant". This was followed by Vince Pizzica of Thomson, the company who invented mp3 and a myriad of other technologies the likes of Apple have innovated upon to great effect, capturing a mass-market not so much by great engineering, but rather through great design, marketing and service. I particularly enjoyed his observation that there are plenty of more profitable sectors for a technology vendor than conventional telecoms!
All good stuff, but it was Roland Montagne who really piqued my interest in a great presentation around broadband adoption and observations from rolling out fibre to the home (FTTH). Experience from trials of fiber in Hong Kong has revealed people tend to upload more data than they download, which is in direct conflict to the premise of ADSL. It's a vision I've heard Kevin Marks and JP postulate many times, so great to see it's coming true! I was therefore amazed to hear someone joke: "if everybody's uploading more than they download, what happens to all the packets?" as if data was subject to double entry bookkeeping, or there was a law of data entropy: packets cannot be created nor destroyed! This made me realise not everyone is on the same page, anticipating a world of people uploading high definition home movies, streaming telemetry data to aggregation services, hosting video conferencing and participating in peer-to-peer data sharing such as a distributed cloud, along with a multitude of other innovations only possible in a symmetrically connected world. I was reminded of the old, apocryphal quote from a Kodak executive dismissing digital cameras and their poor quality with "people love photos", when in reality it's the taking of photos that people love. Sometimes it's hard for an incumbent with large sunk costs and a vested interest in business as usual to foresee and embrace change. Indeed for a telco or large commercial software vendor the best way to predict the future is to prevent it.
So the pitch was prepared for this web kitteh to take the stage — herein an attempted explanation the selection of my usual slides assembled to accompany this talk:
My background is in communications, by which I mean data integration for large companies. A while ago I found myself representing BT at the W3C in the area of Web services. If you're lucky, you will never have heard of Web services, a manifestation of Service Oriented Architecture, snake-oil devised to further the dependency of organisations on vendors and their tools.
Web services, not to be confused with The Web, evolved through privileged people in smoke filled rooms writing specifications which they then attempted to rubber-stamp in a number of different consortia.
A tennis circus of standards representatives were then dispatched to trot the globe, competing and resolving the same issues in different ways in different working groups. The result was a raft of incompatible specifications which at best were incoherent.
Nothing but the simplest of scenarios worked, so they formed the Web Services Interoperability Organization to write profiles removing the more esoteric features and to email corrections to themselves, elsewhere. Seven years later, and some of the simplest use-cases interoperate across a handful of toolkits. Sometimes.
My take from participating in this process was that stanardization is really hard, but such an approach to standardization comes directly from a time when vendors ruled the earth, and IT strategy was mostly a matter of reading the runes of vendor roadmaps and trying to divine the lowest common denominator. Those days are over, in no small part thanks culturally to open source and architecturally to this thing called The Web.
After a few years of hand-waving about the WS-Emperor being chilly, I decided I was ineffectual in my supposed role as BT's Chief Web Services Architect and failing in my self-appointed role as a Moral Compass, and maybe it was time to move on.
Lucky for me BT bought a small company Osmosoft, a team of impassioned developers who articulate the values of The Web, developing innovative collaborative tools, such as TiddlyWiki, with the express purpose of fostering innovation through open source. On joining the team Jeremy Ruston encouraged me to produce a poster explaining my experiences with the Web and Web Services. The result was a doodle: The Web is Agreement, which you may or may not find useful!
When I mentioned ETSI to my colleagues, I was surprised by their positive reaction. One enthused how he visited their site most everyday, another that a friend of his girlfriend actually used them to make a modest living. It was then I realised we were talking about etsy.com a Web 2.0 arts and crafts marketplace.
On explaining what ETSI actually was, I was met with a stony response. Yes, I was headed to The Ministry of Telco, and I had their sympathy!
You see I think there is a real difference in how Web and traditional Telco people see the world, and it's about freedom and acceptable points of control.
Now I'm all for defending the solidness of GSM, and how 3G is changing people's lives. An eight hour battery life and mobile broadband means I can work anywhere, but to use my 3G dongle when traveling to France costs an eye-watering £3 a megabyte! My mobile phone, which even if I were allowed to tether to my notebook, has similarly punative roaming costs. So I opened my laptop in Nice airport for a spot of Wifi. Only instead of being greeted by the usual Safari "Top Sites" panel, I was faced with a parade of pages from a WiFi paywall demanding my credit card for €6 an hour. I suspect this man in the middle attack now has a nice collection of most of my private session cookies.
I've heard it said many times, most recently today, that operators have the closest relationship with their customers, one that should be better "exploited". It's certainly true there's a relationship that's being exploited — an abusive one with large incentives to break on my side. All I see are operators blocking the way between me and the application I really care about: The Internet. My closest relationship is not with them but my social network and these days they're on The Web, people who I know by name but not necessarily as numbers in my phonebook.
I think these anecdotes serve to illustrate why the thrust of my talk which is on the cultural rather than technical differences between IMS and Web 2.0.
Matt Jones recently put together a great presentation entitled "The New Negroponte Switch" where he took Nicholas Negroponte's flipping of TV and Telephones from Wireless to Wired and vice versa to apply to products and services, examples being objects we currently hold dear such as cars becoming services, e.g. zipcar and services such as websites appearing as desirable objects. This flipping is a cycle, where there is money to made anticipating and taking the tack early. Listening to Vince a moment ago talking about Application stores I was motivated to sketch this slide: open and closed flipping. But it's a point I regret making because forever the optimist I believe everything is destined to become more open!
Speaking of being open, I like to use a back-channel at events like this where only one person can speak at one time, so looked on Twitter for people mentioning ETSI, but just some Greek and myself. I understand there is a chat.etsi.org, but I don't have a scooby what to do with an .exe file.
Anyway, the subject on the card is Web 2.0 …
… and we've two Tims to to thank for that: Tim O'Reilly, who coined the "2.0" term and Tim Berners-Lee, who invented the Web. Of course Timbl didn't actually build the Web. We all did that collectively! But it was him and a few notable grey-beards who provided the architecture of participation, enabling distributed extensibility, and from its heart offering great rewards for openness and concurrence. Timbl is a visionary, and having in no small part fathered the Web, has spent a number of years working on that difficult second album — The Semantic Data Web.
If Timbl knows where we should be be, Tim O'Reilly knows exactly where we are now, something he's able to do by assembling a formidable social network, which he brings together through publishing books and holding conferences, most exclusively the annual Foo Camp. Much of the substance of Web 2.0 comes from a series of books on social science, including The Wisdom of The Crowds and The Long Tail, and the fantastic The Cluetrain Manifesto in which BT's JP Rangaswami has a chapter in the ten year anniversary edition. Then there are books which post-date Web 2.0, but owe much to its culture, such as Everything is Miscellaneous and Here Comes Everybody and Black Swan.
I guess the odd one out is "Black Swan" with its warning that the next big thing is unlikely to be in the place you're looking, rather out there in the long grass. Disruption is indeed a clever girl!
I'm irritated by people saying "nobody knows what Web 2.0 is" when it's actually a carefully set-out series of astute observations on The Web in 2005, well documentsed in a single paper. The name isn't great, but it's one devised, trademarked and controlled by O'Reilly, and certainly more tangible and real than, let's say, "SOA".
Something else which irks me is when people say "Web 3.0", as if that actually meant something real, which we all agree upon. It doesn't, and we don't. I'm happy for language and ideas to freely evolve, but Web 3.0 isn't an evolution of Web 2.0, it's a subversion. We really need Versioning 2.0.
So it's The Web which is interesting, and not plays which are specific to a network or device. What the phrase "The Web as a Platform" actually means depends on your definition of a platform, but from my perspective it's an information architecture, populated with and by the people, and you ignore them at your peril!
One challenge to the notion of an open, free platform, independent of any device is the current success of the Apple iPhone store, which is predicated on a "trusted" path between Apple.com and that seductive, locked down device in my pocket. A device I'm unable to install my own software upon, let alone put my fingers into to hack or repair. This troubles me because whilst it's great to see such an vibrant ecosystem of innovations and toys and bedroom coders being paid money for software, that "trusted path" can never be trusted so long as it belongs to a single vendor. A multitude of per-vendor store-stove pipes isn't what we want to see either. So as the forever-open-optimist I suspect this is really a short term scenario, and something which will break down as more open alternatives emerge.
Not many people know it, but America has a machine which turns wheat into cars — it's called Japan. As engineers we like to employ engineering to solve problems, whilst mining the wisdom and madness of crowds is the solution to many of the hardest problems, for example recommendation: "people who bought that, also bought this" and other forms of "intelligence" where the reality is you're not dealing with a machine, rather a multi-person mechanical Turk. One of the nicest explanations of collective intelligence in the context of Web 2.0 is Michael Wesch's video, The Machine is Using Us:
Another favorite explanation of collective intelligence and Web 2.0 comes in the form of a rapid, dense and beautifully pretentious talk from Jeremy Keith — The System of The World which I'd highly recommend listening to:
I'm sure the phrase "Data is the next Intel Inside", must make our colleague from Intel very happy! Having mentioned the name, do I now need to hum the Intel sonic logo?
Web 2.0 companies are built upon data, and are very aware of which data they should give away, and what they should keep and capitalise upon.
Google spend a lot of money buying maps, something of a valuable commodity, which they then spend money publishing on The Web. This is a great service, one I quite often use whilst still logged into Google mail. Whilst I'm slightly unnerved by how much Google is learning about me and my map use, it's something I can live with in return for a better service. Of course if they betray our trust and weird us out, we'll stop using them! More recently we've seen entire Web 2.0 databases becoming freely available for download, for example Stack Overflow and Yahoo! Geo Planet, which I think highlights the point — the data isn't as valuable as knowing how people use it, either personally or usually more importantly, en masse. It's also in all our interests to see how people innovate with data. More on that in a moment.
Many people who haven't read Tim's paper think of Web 2.0 as being about company names without vowels, shiny logos, rounded corners and Ajax. As important as Web site design is, along with innovations in interactive Web clients, they are in essence simply other aspects of The Web as a Platform. Some see Flash, Silverlight or even JavaFX (yeah, right!) and think they're the future, when in reality they're little more than echos of the past. These closed blobs of binary are desperate last acts of lockin to development tools from vendors no longer in control. Flash is fine for natty games, but most RIA plugins lack the very features which made Web pages such a huge and immediate success: hyperlinking, cut and paste of simple text, no need for developer tools, ubiquitous clients and most important of all: view-source. Luckily Flash is increasingly becoming little more than a device driver, back-filling for features missing from the Web, a stop-gap while the winner emerges: the open evolution of HTML, CSS and JavaScript.
Perpetual beta and lightweight programming models, manifest themselves in sites which evolve before our eyes. In many ways this approach has become the new orthodoxy and anyone involved with software development can't have escaped the agile development movement. Many agile methodologies involve elevating The Customer into a position of despotic authority. This works well, where The Customer is a single person, usually the person paying for the development. Where it breaks down, is where The Customer attempts to represent a community of users for a product or service.
The above photo is from the Apollo 13 control centre, soon after hearing the famous words "Houston we have a problem". Here, small teams worked well to solve problems, and although the teams, often self-forming, behaved in an agile manor, it was one man's grand vision to have that moon-shot, and a hierarchy which made sure it happened according to plan.
All well and good, but not so if that one-man's vision and the apparatus of control are not working in the best interests of the community — misguided or misinformed, as as in Mao's Great Leap Forward?
Enter open source!
Clay Shirky gave a great talk at Supernova 2007 where he described a Shinto shrine, which although more 1,300 years old, was rejected as a Unesco world heritage site because it's made of wood, which not having the greatest longevity of building materials meant that the building couldn't possibly be that old. The monks knowing this, periodically ritually tear down the temple and rebuild it with wood gathered from the same forest. Clay points out how this is like open source projects who only exist due to their communities rebuilding their code each and every night, and whose detractors often don’t care that it works in practice because they already know it doesn’t work in theory. The rewards for participating in an open source project are not usually monetary, so Clay dubbed this new approach to collaboration: The Love Economy.
An alternative to empowering The Customer despot, is to form the collective committee. and engage in a spot of what is to all intents and purposes standardization.
But as my WS-* rant described, this can go badly, too and descend into Design By Committee, where the outcome is invariably a collection of options everyone hates the least.
There is little glamour and there are few rewards for participating in a committee. Possibly justifiably!
So, although I've just advocated against the despotic role of The Customer, most open source projects have such a person in control: the Benevolent Dictator For Life or BDFL.
However the big difference between The Customer and a BDFL is central to how open source functions. Most projects are driven by contributions, and it is the role of the BDFL to edit and exercise his design authority and taste in selecting which contributions become a part of the project. It's rare for someone to contribute code just for the heck of it, so contributions provide an excellent set of requirements. This is sometimes dubbed Itch Driven Development.
It's important contributors don't feel disenfranchised and are able to continue to use their contribution even if it doesn't become a core feature. For this reason most open source projects have good models for supporting extensions and plugins.
This feedback process is also employed in part by Web 2.0 companies who observe closely how their community of users behave, and use this practical experience to guide the direction of their service. Observation and editing of patterns exhibited in wild is also central to Web standards communities such as Microformats. In the past, keeping an open source project together under a single repository was key to successful collaboration, and threats to fork a project would be a way of keeping a BDFL in check. In someways this cohesion is being challenged by the latest generation of distributed revision control systems such as git, which simplify and actively encourage forking code-bases. This additional freedom is already starting to change the dynamics of a number of open source projects. Interesting times! Forking is also a challenge to Web 2.0 services, where competition is the control that keeps most services honest. Should, a service behave badly, everyone will quickly jump to another, better service. This is one of the new tenets of social networks: that they aren't "sticky" or tied to a single service: they are highly mobile. Finally, let me end on something obvious, but very important. Call them new business models if you must, but closed and restrictive licensing is incompatible with open source. Unreasonable and discriminatory licenses such as RAND seriously limit the adoption of technologies on the Web. So, in a nutshell, here is a tick-list for an architecture for participation: I've published a manifesto for this approach in the form of a gnomic sampler on http://standeace.com, a contraction of "Standards" and "Peace": I felt bad and had been possibly a little too rude to my hosts, so admitted to having an alter-ego who attended Web conferences to extol the value of phones concluding: GSM is cool. Fibre to the home is way-cool. Please keep doing that! APIs and IMS? Um, not so interesting! The pain points ahead for the Web are video streaming which will introduce new kinds of bottlenecks and Web friendly messaging and eventing. Build us a great infrastructure, a strong architecture of participation from which we are all free to innovate upon, using The Web, and from the edge of the network. Over dinner I was luckily enough to engage with some of my more robust inquisitors, and had some great conversations around privacy and the economics of open with some formidably smart people. Just as I was retiring, shaking hands with my combatants, I was left with "as much as I enjoyed your presentation, I didn't understand a single word", and "I looked at your Twitter, what a load of rubbish!" both of which made me laugh like a loon. Oh well, I may not have saved The Empire, but I had fun trying.
Another year, and another quiz sheet for our local school Spring Fair. Rather poignantly, this is probably our last one given our youngest leaves the school this term. The theme of this year's fair is "Make do and Mend", so in this quiz each picture represents a WWII poster. And of course I had to include Mrs Sew and Sew. As usual, I'll post the answers after the prize draw.
Walking out the other night it dawned on me that Berkhamsted, being built on a long, straight high street in a vaguely ESE to WSW direction, was very likely to have a "solstice". Whilst not exactly rivaling Manhattanhenge or even MIThenge, I think we can legitimately dub this event "Berkohenge"!
As much as I prefer hackathons, barcamps, open spaces, show 'n tell and other grass rootsy events to formal conferences, I do enjoy a good single-day single-track seminar particularly the unmissable d.construct. In that vein I was lucky enough to attend last year's Future of Web Design (FOWD) - a packed day of excellent speakers expounding about user-experience and Web design. These are important subject areas, and ones I can't claim much skill in particularly when compared to my fellow Osmosofties. I managed to hang out with some really cool people, had some amazing conversations and was inspired enough to make some crude sketchnotes:
A year on, and I haven't found the time to think about justifying going to this year's event, but did spot a competition to design a "holding slide" to be displayed throughout the day in-between presentations, first prize being a conference pass. Suffering an art-attack, I had a quick crack at doing something over lunch. Ahem, something of a long lunch. Blush! My attempt is intended to highlight the thing I like best about the event: great people! I've also made an attempt to incorporate allusions to pet Carsonified themes of clouds, planes, etc. I'm no photoshop wiz, so used scissors and glue to cut and paste, which is a technique I've been experimenting with when making slides such as When Vendors Ruled The Earth:
I somehow doubt I'll win, given the competition is a room of professional designers, but it was fun to have a go.
Update: well I didn't even get shortlisted into the people's vote, which is a shame.
Today is Ada Lovelace Day, where I along with 1,633 other bloggers signed a pledge to write about a woman in technology whom I admire. Rather than single out someone contemporary I've decided to cite a personal hero Rear Admiral Grace Murray Hopper who created what is generally considered to be the first compiler, developed FLOW-MATIC later standardised as COBOL a programming language still in common use today and who popularised the term computer bug. She is also famous for cool visualisations in particular her nanoseconds, lengths of copper wire the distance light travels in a nanonsecond which she handed out to her students. What's more she achieved all of this in a world of institutional discrimination against women and whilst working inside an authoritarian bureaucracy, which is probably why she is often attributed with the quote: "It's easier to ask forgiveness than it is to seek permission". The breadth of her accomplishments led to her earning the nickname "Amazing Grace", and I think she's someone to admire, regardless of the gender you happen to abide in.
About a month back Libby came up with a Radio 4 announcement-bot. This was similar to Nigel's on_radio4, but with attached iplayer metadata. It also has a really cool name "CharBotGreen" which is an egregious pun by Damien on everybody's favorite Radio 4 announcer "Charlotte Green". My small contribution was to create her icon, a play on Futurama's Bender. Charlotte is well known for her sense of humor, so we were pretty sure she'd find it funny, but it was still something of a relief and simply wonderful to hear her reaction with Chris Vallance on Friday the 13th's PM:
.. but some alter-egos are rather useful, a couple of clever internet folks have Web-enabled a rather familiar Radio 4 personality.
Hello, I'm Charlotte Green and I work for BBC Radio 4 and I'm a newsreader. I'm also a robot!
Well I'm glad you mentioned the fact that you're a robot Charlotte, let me introduce you to CharBot Green [yes!], your robotic equivalent! What do you think of it?
Well I rather like the fact that I've got an antenna growing out of the top of my head, maybe I should adopt that look. I think it's fun, and it's fun to be called CharBot as well!
Well, shall we give it a go? Shall we see how CharBotGreen speech compares with yourself. I'm going to give you one of her robotic announcements to read, maybe the last one, there.
The last one? Right. Starting now on Radio 4: Chi-Chi: Panda Ambassador hash p i d colon b double-oh j oh p p 6
It was all going very well until the end
[both Charlotte and Chris giggle]
The programme is only available on iPlayer for another six days, so I've saved a one-minute clip of the conversation along with the Creative Commons licensed artwork. Enjoy!
Update: sadly Twitter suspended CharBotGreen, but she's available on identi.ca, which is where the cool kids go to escape the social media experts.
As outlined in the platitudinous essay On The Vanity of Demanding Attribution, I publish under a Creative Commons license mainly so people can use my stuff without having to be bothered to bother me. But what's better than people just using your stuff is when they take something you've created and bend it a little. Two great examples of bending came up this week: firstly, Randy Thornton alerted me to his class at The University of Puget Sound who decided to discuss and colour in The Web Is Agreement and have published the results:
As if that wasn't enough for one's ego, in yesterday's post was a couple of free copies of Libros De Mexico, a magazine which I gather is on sale to the general public, but whose main readership is formed by booksellers and editors. On the cover is another great coloured version of The Web is Agreement:
I was amazed to see they've used a number of snippets of my doodles throughout the magazine:
The magazine looks great, and is chocked full of articles on the Web, including one by Nicholas Carr, no less. Shame my Spanish isn't better.
I simply love The Creative Commons!
And so to The Policy Exchange, a Think Tank in the dark heart of Westminster to join a heady mix of geeks, politicos, suits and Party Animals to Free Our Data. I have to confess Robbie and I arrived late, and Blaine had to bail early, meaning we missed the introductions. This was a real shame because ironically there is little data about the event online beyond copies of a press-release announcement. So three members of the panel were known to us: Charles Arthur chief protagonist of the Free Our Data campaign , Ed Parsons formerly of the Ordinance Survey, now at Google making him mapping "gamekeeper turned poacher" and Adam Afriyie, shadow Minister for "Innovation, Universities and Skills". Update: Ah, Charles has a more coherent write-up in The Guardian: Data policy must help economic growth, says shadow minister which names the other two panelists: Steven Feldman and Shane O'Neill.
The panel said their stuff, actually they mostly said the same stuff, all agreeing that opening up data was indeed a good thing in principle, but hard in execution. I think all this agreement took Charles aback, causing him to question if unknown Steven Feldman really was who he claimed to be. There was also agreement publishing doesn't come cost-free, and is subject to the usual prioritising against schools, hospitals, roads, etc. Then there was the question of how the public would feel about Civil Servants spending their time blogging and twittering when they should be filing tax receipts or wot not. Ed regaled us with the tale of how his own blogging when at the OS resulted in being threatened with the Official Secrets Act! Mr Afriyue, explicit he was outlining proposed policy, left us with the impression of politicians, still unconvinced at the value or interest in opening data, wanting to maintain control of Copyright, and apparently not seeing charging for data as an obstacle to reuse. Surprisingly there was no mention of The Open Data Commons where Ian and others have been thinking about issues of licensing data to eliminate all restrictions on data, not just IP restrictions such as copyright and database rights.
A metaphor for the way government treats this issue came from an incongruously autocratic moderator who opened up to the audience with "I want short questions, only questions, and not positions", as if only useful discussion and understanding may arise from McCarthyite-esque trials. Funnily enough the last time I saw such an overt stifling of a knowledgeable audience was the Data for Good session at 2gether08 where sat in the round we were still subject to an unnaturally forced elevation of a panel above the floor. One wonders what is it about Open Data which encourages closed discussion.
I managed restraint and listened as smart "bedroom coders" from the audience asked some great questions. The underlying thrust from the audience being that mysociety, openstreetmap and others are using communities to publish this data already. Ideally government should hold the authoritative source, and as Jeni has shown, simple publication is all that is needed for the Web, not complex APIs or services, a message to be hammered home at rewired state next month. Wonder if any of the suits will join us geeks there!
I loved Oskar Krawczyk's WTFramework Bookmarklet [via Michael], but it didn't detect TiddlyWiki, so I hacked it! Drag [WTFramework] (modified 1.3) to your toolbar.
I like OpenID and use it wherever I can in preference to having to remember yet another stupid password. I was just prompted to move from del.icio.us to Ma.gnolia precisely because the redesigned delicious refused to stick my login into my keychain. Ma.gnolia supports OpenID as well as other goodies such as Microformats. Shame about delicious, I joined them June 2004 but kudos for providing such an easy migration path. Update: shame about Magnolia. Oh well!
Where I currently wouldn't use OpenID is to login to my bank account. That's not so much due to the protocol being less secure than the mind boggling complex alternatives but because even if my bank accepted OpenID I'd have real trouble choosing a third party provider trustworthy enough to hold my banking details. I can imagine a bank or some other regulated body, cough, is best placed to provide such a service, because it ain't Livejournal, Flickr or Google and sure as heck isn't Microsoft.
That's not to say I want a party to vouch that I am really me to the bank, just somebody I can trust with my password, cert, PIN, eyeball hash or whatever it is I choose to vouch that me meatspace is that thing, cyberspace.
As for Microsoft soon becoming an OpenID provider, it is great news, but surely no surprise given they already announced it. It's also worth a small reality check. There are already lots of OpenID providers to chose from, probably because it's a seen as low risk "quick win" to become one, and because being a provider is a great way to centrally track your users logging into other sites. What we actually need now are more OpenID relying parties
Or to put it another way: consumers, consumers, consumers